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Olympia Warriors vs University of Tasmania

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympia Warriors in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympia Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olympia Warriors
6%
Draws
4%
University of Tasmania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olympia Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • University of Tasmania haven't matched Olympia Warriors's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olympia Warriors a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Olympia Warriors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Olympia Warriors Clean Sheet 13%
University of Tasmania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympia Warriors University of Tasmania
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 20 9
Draws 1 1
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs University of Tasmania
4:2
Mar 28, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Olympia Warriors
3:5
Jun 20, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs University of Tasmania
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Olympia Warriors
2:2
Sep 4, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Olympia Warriors
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympia Warriors 84 / 100
University of Tasmania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympia Warriors University of Tasmania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olympia Warriors scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: University of Tasmania conceded in 94% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Olympia Warriors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympia Warriors VS University of Tasmania
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U2114101367:2031
2Olympia Warriors1491439:2328
3Hobart City1484239:2428
4New Town Eagles1475248:1726
5Taroona1473447:2124
6Clarence Zebras U211471636:3622
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania14311027:5310
9Glenorchy Knights U2114221031:588
10South East United U2160066:500