Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Podence D. In: Martins G.
Out: Podence D.
51'
Baba A.
52'
Meite S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Olympiacos Piraeus
22%
Draws
60%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • PAOK have won more games recently than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • PAOK are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 11%
PAOK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus PAOK
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 17 18
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK
1:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK
0:0
Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodinei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Konstantelias G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 18 / 100
PAOK 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

PAOK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Olympiacos Piraeus has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS PAOK
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
17 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 1
Sittard
11 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
Leuven
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PAOK

(Away)
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK32219257:2072
2Olympiacos Piraeus32199451:1766
3PAOK321810459:2564
4Panathinaikos321410847:3352
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)