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Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Greek Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Panathinaikos have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Olympiacos Piraeus have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.46. Past meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Olympiacos Piraeus. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olympiacos Piraeus
15%
Draws
38%
Panathinaikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus haven't matched Panathinaikos's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Panathinaikos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 18%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Panathinaikos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.46 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
1:0
May 13, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 32 / 100
Panathinaikos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Panathinaikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Olympiacos Piraeus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Panathinaikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS Panathinaikos
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
25 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
5 : 0
Kalamata
22 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
18 Oct
Panetolikos
0 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
15 Oct
Marseille
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
11 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Panathinaikos
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Panathinaikos

(Away)
25 Oct
Volos
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
22 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 5
Panathinaikos
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
15 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Borac Banja Luka
11 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
5 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Kifisia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Niki Volos 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
11 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)