Sport Picks

Greece

Super League Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

PAOK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus play PAOK in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olympiacos Piraeus averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. PAOK averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Olympiacos Piraeus won 0, PAOK won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 1.25 for PAOK. This points to a PAOK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Olympiacos Piraeus

33%

Draws

34%

PAOK

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Olympiacos Piraeus picked up more points recently compared to PAOK.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 19%

PAOK Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olympiacos Piraeus	PAOK
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	14	14
Draws	9	8
Losses	5	6
Goals Scored	1.46	1.82
Goals Conceded	0.64	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League

Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

May 3, 2026 Super League

PAOK vs Olympiacos Piraeus

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Mar 8, 2026 Super League

Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup

Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Oct 5, 2025 Super League

PAOK vs Olympiacos Piraeus

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodinei

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Konstantelias G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 34 / 100

PAOK 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olympiacos Piraeus PAOK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: PAOK or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympiacos Piraeus attacking → ← attacking PAOK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

PAOK let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Olympiacos Piraeus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

PAOK lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 50

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AEK	32	21	9	2	57:20	72
2	Olympiacos Piraeus	32	19	9	4	51:17	66
3	PAOK	32	18	10	4	59:25	64
4	Panathinaikos	32	14	10	8	47:33	52