Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Olympiacos Piraeus Logo

Olympiacos Piraeus

1 - 1
FT
PAOK Logo

PAOK

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Podence D. In: Martins G.
Out: Podence D.
51'
Baba A.
52'
Meite S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Olympiacos Piraeus
20%
Draws
40%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • PAOK have won more games recently than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Olympiacos Piraeus are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 68%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus PAOK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK
1:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK
0:0
Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
Olympiacos Piraeus vs PAOK
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodinei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Konstantelias G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 50 / 100
PAOK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympiacos Piraeus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

PAOK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Olympiacos Piraeus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS PAOK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
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PAOK

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 32 21 9 2 57:20 72
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 32 19 9 4 51:17 66
3 PAOK 32 18 10 4 59:25 64
4 Panathinaikos 32 14 10 8 47:33 52
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)