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Olympiacos Piraeus vs Sparta Prague - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus host Sparta Prague in the Europa League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Olympiacos Piraeus at 1.38 goals for, 0.9 against; Sparta Prague at 2.11 for, 1.19 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.69, favoring Sparta Prague. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Olympiacos Piraeus
15%
Draws
44%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus haven't matched Sparta Prague's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 13%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympiacos Piraeus Sparta Prague
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.11
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympiacos Piraeus 35 / 100
Sparta Prague 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympiacos Piraeus Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympiacos Piraeus scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Sparta Prague let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Olympiacos Piraeus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympiacos Piraeus VS Sparta Prague
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Home)
15 Oct
Marseille
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
11 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Panathinaikos
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
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Sparta Prague

(Away)
15 Oct
Sparta Prague
1 : 1
Lillestrom
11 Oct
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
FK Pardubice
02 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 3
Jihlava
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Bayer Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
4 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
5 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Omonia 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
7 Ferencvaros 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
8 Lyon 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
9 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
10 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
11 Sparta Prague 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
12 Royale Union SG 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
13 Rennes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
14 Din. Zagreb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
15 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
16 AC Milan 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
17 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
18 OFI Crete 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
19 Torreense 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
20 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
21 Salzburg 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
22 Real Sociedad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
23 Lillestrom 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
24 Levski Sofia 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
25 H. Beer Sheva 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Sturm Graz 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
27 Nijmegen 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
28 Celta Vigo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
29 Anderlecht 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
30 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Plzen 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
32 Marseille 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
33 Celtic 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
34 Ararat-Armenia 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Celje 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
36 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)