Sport Picks
Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Queensland Goodwin Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
14'
14'
Gage Raftery A.
19'
19'
Scott J.
86'
86'
Hudson J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland game between Olympic FC and Moreton City Excelsior finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moreton City Excelsior.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Olympic FC haven't matched Moreton City Excelsior's recent run of results.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- Moreton City Excelsior have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olympic FC | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior
1:2
May 16, 2026 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Olympic FC
4:3
Jun 7, 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Olympic FC
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior
1:2
May 25, 2024 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Olympic FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olympic FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hudson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Moreton City Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Gage Raftery A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scott J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olympic FC 29 / 100
Moreton City Excelsior 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olympic FC Moreton City Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olympic FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moreton City Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Olympic FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Moreton City Excelsior has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Olympic FC VS Moreton City Excelsior
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Olympic FC
(Home) 04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4 Brisbane Roar
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Rochedale
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3 Olympic FC
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4 Brisbane Roar
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Rochedale
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
21 Jun
Olympic FC
1 : 3 Peninsula
Page 1 of 3
Moreton City Excelsior
(Away) 05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
