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Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2025 Goodwin Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic FC play Queensland Lions in the NPL Queensland 2025. Queensland Lions are favorites here. Recently, Olympic FC averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Queensland Lions averaged 2.62 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Olympic FC won 1, Queensland Lions won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Olympic FC and 2.88 for Queensland Lions. This points to a Queensland Lions double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Olympic FC
15%
Draws
56%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Olympic FC picked up more points recently compared to Queensland Lions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic FC Queensland Lions
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.47 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions
0:3
May 3, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympic FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Skinner J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic FC 28 / 100
Queensland Lions 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic FC Queensland Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Queensland Lions & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olympic FC attacking → ← attacking Queensland Lions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Queensland Lions let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Olympic FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Queensland Lions lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 63
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Moreton City Excelsior22145348:2347
2Queensland Lions22133648:2942
3Peninsula22116545:2139
4Eastern Suburbs22125551:3638
5Gold Coast Knights SC22114729:2637
6Olympic FC22931029:2630
7Brisbane City22931043:4230
8Wynnum Wolves2276941:4027
9Gold Coast Utd22831125:4527
10Brisbane Roar U2322641229:3522
11St. George Willawong22471127:4819
12Sunshine Coast Wanderers22231720:649