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Olympic FC vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2025 Goodwin Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lucas C.
25' Event
Annis-Wade C.
33' Event
Balarezo J.

AI Match Summary

Olympic FC in this NPL Queensland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympic FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Olympic FC
28%
Draws
50%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: St. George Willawong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • St. George Willawong haven't matched Olympic FC's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on St. George Willawong taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 11%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic FC St. George Willawong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs St. George Willawong
3:1
May 28, 2025 NPL Queensland
St. George Willawong vs Olympic FC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympic FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Annis-Wade C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Balarezo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic FC 22 / 100
St. George Willawong 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic FC St. George Willawong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George Willawong let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Olympic FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Olympic FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympic FC VS St. George Willawong
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic FC

(Home)
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0
Olympic FC
04 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 0
Olympic FC
27 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Olympic FC
21 Jun
Olympic FC
1 : 3
Peninsula
Page 1 of 6

St. George Willawong

(Away)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moreton City Excelsior22145348:2347
2Queensland Lions22133648:2942
3Peninsula22116545:2139
4Eastern Suburbs22125551:3638
5Gold Coast Knights SC22114729:2637
6Olympic FC22931029:2630
7Brisbane City22931043:4230
8Wynnum Wolves2276941:4027
9Gold Coast Utd22831125:4527
10Brisbane Roar U2322641229:3522
11St. George Willawong22471127:4819
12Sunshine Coast Wanderers22231720:649
Promotion - NPL Queensland 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)