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Olympic Star vs Kayanza United

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Olympic Star play Kayanza United in the Primus League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olympic Star averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Kayanza United averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Olympic Star won 2, Kayanza United won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Olympic Star and 1.31 for Kayanza United. This points to a Olympic Star double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Olympic Star
28%
Draws
22%
Kayanza United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Olympic Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Olympic Star has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kayanza United.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Olympic Star.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primus League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 18%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Star Kayanza United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Kayanza United
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Olympic Star
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Kayanza United
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Olympic Star
0:3
Mar 2, 2024 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Kayanza United
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Star 49 / 100
Kayanza United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Star Kayanza United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic Star scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kayanza United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Olympic Star went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kayanza United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Star VS Kayanza United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847