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Olympic Star vs Panthere Noir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic Star host Panthere Noir in the Primus League. Olympic Star go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Olympic Star at 1.29 goals for, 1.29 against; Panthere Noir at 0.5 for, 1.25 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.98 xG vs 0.90) point toward Olympic Star. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Olympic Star
35%
Draws
11%
Panthere Noir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olympic Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olympic Star lately — more wins on the board than Panthere Noir.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Olympic Star taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 20%
Panthere Noir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Star Panthere Noir
Matches Played 28 4
Wins 8 0
Draws 10 1
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.29 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Star 58 / 100
Panthere Noir 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Star Panthere Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panthere Noir has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Olympic Star's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Olympic Star has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Panthere Noir has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Star VS Panthere Noir
1.25 Goals Scored 0.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Star

(Home)
03 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Olympic Star
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
Page 1 of 6

Panthere Noir

(Away)
04 Oct
Le Messager Ngozi
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
30 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
22 Aug
Panthere Noir
1 : 1
Bumamuru
14 Aug
Rukinzo
2 : 1
Panthere Noir

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Muzinga 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
3 Aigle Noir 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
4 Le Messager Ngozi 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
5 Ngozi City 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
6 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
7 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 7:10 8
8 Olympic Star 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
9 Flambeau du Centre 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Kayanza United 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
11 Bumamuru 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
12 Never Give Up Academy 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
13 Musongati 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Panthere Noir 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
16 Young Star 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)