Sport Picks
Olympic Tallinn vs Maardu Aliens - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2022/2023 
Match Events
4'
4'
Samberk R.
7'
7'
Petrovits A.
17'
17'
Jegorov D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-4, with Olympic Tallinn advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic Tallinn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Olympic Tallinn come out ahead of Maardu Aliens on wins alone.
- Maardu Aliens are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Olympic Tallinn have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olympic Tallinn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olympic Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Maardu Aliens Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olympic Tallinn | Maardu Aliens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 10 |
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.48 | 2.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.46 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 30, 2022 Estonian Cup
Olympic Tallinn vs Maardu Aliens
5:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olympic Tallinn Compare
Top Goalscorer Petrovits A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Samberk R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.23
Maardu Aliens Compare
Top Goalscorer Jegorov D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olympic Tallinn 10 / 100
Maardu Aliens 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olympic Tallinn Maardu Aliens
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maardu Aliens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maardu Aliens's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.
Games between these two average 9.00 goals.
Away concern: Maardu Aliens has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Olympic Tallinn scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Olympic Tallinn VS Maardu Aliens
1.5 Goals Scored 1
4.63 Goals Conceded 3.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Olympic Tallinn
(Home) 19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7 Saku Sporting
26 Jul
TransferWise
3 : 6 Olympic Tallinn
18 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 6 Tulevik
07 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
11 : 0 Olympic Tallinn
11 Sept
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 8 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7 Saku Sporting
18 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 6 Tulevik
11 Sept
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 8 Harju JK Laagri
02 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
3 : 0 Rumori Calcio II
14 Sept
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 5 Tabasalu
Page 1 of 4
Maardu Aliens
(Away) 26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
31 Jul
Maardu Aliens
0 : 12 Kuressaare
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
: FC Tallinn
30 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
5 : 4 Maardu Aliens
25 Jul
Maardu Aliens
2 : 3 Eston Villa
Page 1 of 2
30 Jun
Olympic Tallinn
5 : 4 Maardu Aliens
11 Aug
Tulevik
: Maardu Aliens
13 Jul
Narva
: Maardu Aliens
11 Jun
Tallinn Piraaja
1 : 2 Maardu Aliens
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2
