Sport Picks

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Olympic vs AFC Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Lindängens IP, Malmö
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympic host AFC Malmo in the Division 1 - Södra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. AFC Malmo have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Olympic have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Olympic have won 2 to AFC Malmo's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.19) point toward Olympic. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Olympic
15%
Draws
27%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Malmo lately — more wins on the board than Olympic.
  • Olympic are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic AFC Malmo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.79 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Olympic
1:2
May 26, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Olympic vs AFC Malmo
5:3
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Olympic vs AFC Malmo
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Olympic
4:2
Jun 19, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Olympic vs AFC Malmo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic 47 / 100
AFC Malmo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Olympic stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

AFC Malmo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympic VS AFC Malmo
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic

(Home)
01 Aug
Olympic
3 : 1
Skovde
25 Jul
Hassleholms IF
1 : 2
Olympic
19 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
3 : 4
Olympic
28 Jun
Olympic
2 : 1
Eskilsminne
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
Page 1 of 6

AFC Malmo

(Away)
08 Aug
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Trelleborg
01 Aug
Angelholm
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
12 Jun
Lunds Bois
1 : 4
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 16 10 6 0 37:15 36
2 Atvidaberg 16 8 5 3 32:21 29
3 AFC Malmo 16 8 4 4 31:20 28
4 Lunds Bois 16 7 7 2 29:19 28
5 Hassleholms IF 16 8 3 5 31:22 27
6 Rosengard 16 7 5 4 27:21 26
7 Olympic 15 7 1 7 25:25 22
8 Tvaaker 16 6 4 6 20:23 22
9 Eskilsminne 16 6 3 7 25:28 21
10 Jonkoping 15 5 3 7 22:19 18
11 Angelholm 16 3 8 5 24:25 17
12 Kristianstad 16 4 5 7 17:24 17
13 Skovde 16 3 8 5 13:24 17
14 Laholms 16 5 1 10 22:30 16
15 Trollhattan 16 3 7 6 19:27 16
16 Utsikten 16 1 2 13 12:43 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)