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Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

Olympic Varna in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympic Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olympic Varna
20%
Draws
80%
Septemvri Dragoevo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Dragoevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Olympic Varna have won more games recently than Septemvri Dragoevo.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Dragoevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Varna Septemvri Dragoevo
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 9 2
Draws 2 2
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 2 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.89 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Varna 30 / 100
Septemvri Dragoevo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Varna Septemvri Dragoevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Dragoevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Olympic Varna scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Difficult form: Septemvri Dragoevo registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Varna VS Septemvri Dragoevo
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Varna

(Home)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Dragoevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
1 : 1
Benkovski
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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