Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Chetti I.
53'
Amriche A.
69' Event
Gherbi M. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Olympique Akbou
35%
Draws
45%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympique Akbou haven't matched USM Alger's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans USM Alger's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Olympique Akbou Clean Sheet 20%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympique Akbou USM Alger
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 14
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger
2:3
May 19, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Olympique Akbou
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger
1:1
May 26, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Olympique Akbou
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olympique Akbou Compare

Top Goalscorer Gherbi M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaldi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympique Akbou 24 / 100
USM Alger 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympique Akbou USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olympique Akbou scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

USM Alger let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Olympique Akbou has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympique Akbou VS USM Alger
0.71 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympique Akbou

(Home)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
12 Sept
Rouisset
2 : 0
Olympique Akbou
03 Sept
JS El Biar
0 : 2
Olympique Akbou
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
19 May
USM Alger
1 : 0
Olympique Akbou
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USM Alger

(Away)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)