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Omiya Ardija W vs AC Parceiro Nagano W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Norimatsu R.
59' Event
Saito Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Omiya Ardija W
15%
Draws
0%
AC Parceiro Nagano W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omiya Ardija W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Omiya Ardija W lately — more wins on the board than AC Parceiro Nagano W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Omiya Ardija W taking it.
  • Omiya Ardija W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AC Parceiro Nagano W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 68%
AC Parceiro Nagano W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W AC Parceiro Nagano W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 1
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.53 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs AC Parceiro Nagano W
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 WE League Women
AC Parceiro Nagano W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs AC Parceiro Nagano W
2:3
Mar 9, 2025 WE League Women
AC Parceiro Nagano W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 WE League Cup Women
AC Parceiro Nagano W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Norimatsu R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saito Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

AC Parceiro Nagano W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 77 / 100
AC Parceiro Nagano W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W AC Parceiro Nagano W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omiya Ardija W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: AC Parceiro Nagano W conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

AC Parceiro Nagano W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS AC Parceiro Nagano W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
13 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
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AC Parceiro Nagano W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Urawa W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
19 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 1
C-Osaka W
13 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 5 4 0 1 10:7 11
2 Nojima Stella W 5 3 0 2 8:5 11
3 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
5 Omiya Ardija W 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Beleza W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
7 C-Osaka W 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
8 Mynavi Sendai W 5 2 0 3 4:6 8
9 Urawa W 5 2 0 3 10:9 7
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 5 1 0 4 6:11 2
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 5 0 0 5 0:10 0
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Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)