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Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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WE League Women NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama
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Match Events

13' Event
Shinbori K.
55' Event
Nishio H.
Assist: Kanehira R.
65' Event
Hamada M.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women game between Omiya Ardija W and Albirex Niigata W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omiya Ardija W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Omiya Ardija W
15%
Draws
34%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omiya Ardija W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Omiya Ardija W come out ahead of Albirex Niigata W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Omiya Ardija W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 15%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W
2:1
May 2, 2026 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Omiya Ardija W
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishio H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamada M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Albirex Niigata W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shinbori K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 41 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Albirex Niigata W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Omiya Ardija W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Albirex Niigata W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS Albirex Niigata W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
11 Oct
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Omiya Ardija W
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
04 Oct
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 2
C-Osaka W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urawa W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 Beleza W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 C-Osaka W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Albirex Niigata W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Saitama W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 JEF United W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9 Mynavi Sendai W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
10 Omiya Ardija W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
11 Nojima Stella W 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
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