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Omiya Ardija W vs C-Osaka W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kitahara S.
16' Event
Wada M.
25' Event
Nishio H.

AI Match Summary

C-Osaka W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Omiya Ardija W
40%
Draws
29%
C-Osaka W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to C-Osaka W lately — more wins on the board than Omiya Ardija W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • C-Osaka W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor C-Osaka W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 20%
C-Osaka W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W C-Osaka W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs C-Osaka W
1:3
Apr 12, 2026 WE League Cup Women
C-Osaka W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:5
Feb 15, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs C-Osaka W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:1
May 17, 2025 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishio H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

C-Osaka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitahara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wada M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 32 / 100
C-Osaka W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W C-Osaka W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Omiya Ardija W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: C-Osaka W conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Omiya Ardija W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS C-Osaka W
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
25 Jul
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
10 May
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 1
JEF United W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
29 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 3
Beleza W
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C-Osaka W

(Away)
16 May
C-Osaka W
1 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
JEF United W
0 : 1
C-Osaka W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
19 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 3
C-Osaka W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
C-Osaka W4
Omiya Ardija W6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W4
Beleza W5
Final
Omiya Ardija W2
Beleza W3