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Omiya Ardija W vs JEF United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W Logo

Omiya Ardija W

Sun, Sep 27, 2026
1 - 2
07:00 AM
JEF United W Logo

JEF United W

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ogawa Y.
78' Event
Kanehira R.
1' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Omiya Ardija W
15%
Draws
49%
JEF United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JEF United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija W's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what JEF United W have produced (1.14).
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor JEF United W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 13%
JEF United W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W JEF United W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs JEF United W
1:2
May 10, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs JEF United W
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:1
May 6, 2025 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs JEF United W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanehira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

JEF United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogawa Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 31 / 100
JEF United W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W JEF United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEF United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

JEF United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Omiya Ardija W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS JEF United W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
11 Oct
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Omiya Ardija W
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
Page 1 of 6

JEF United W

(Away)
10 Oct
JEF United W
3 : 1
Nojima Stella W
04 Oct
Saitama W
2 : 1
JEF United W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
19 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0 : 1
JEF United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 6 5 0 1 13:8 14
2 Beleza W 6 4 0 2 14:11 12
3 Omiya Ardija W 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
4 Nojima Stella W 6 3 0 3 9:8 11
5 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
6 Urawa W 6 3 0 3 12:10 10
7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 C-Osaka W 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
9 Mynavi Sendai W 6 2 0 4 5:8 8
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 6 2 0 4 8:12 4
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 6 0 0 6 1:12 1
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Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)