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Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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WE League Women NACK5 Stadium Omiya, Saitama
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Match Events

25' Event
Ito M.
Assist: Sakakibara K.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women game between Omiya Ardija W and Urawa W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urawa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Omiya Ardija W
15%
Draws
42%
Urawa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omiya Ardija W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Urawa W come out ahead of Omiya Ardija W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 12%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omiya Ardija W Urawa W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.57 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Urawa W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa W
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa W
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Urawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ito M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omiya Ardija W 35 / 100
Urawa W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omiya Ardija W Urawa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urawa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Urawa W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Omiya Ardija W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omiya Ardija W VS Urawa W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omiya Ardija W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
13 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
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Urawa W

(Away)
10 Oct
Urawa W
2 : 1
Mynavi Sendai W
03 Oct
Urawa W
4 : 2
Beleza W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Urawa W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urawa W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 Beleza W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 C-Osaka W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Albirex Niigata W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Saitama W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 JEF United W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9 Mynavi Sendai W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
10 Omiya Ardija W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
11 Nojima Stella W 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Main)