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Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Omonia Aradippou play AEL Limassol in the Cyprus League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Omonia Aradippou averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. AEL Limassol averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Omonia Aradippou won 1, AEL Limassol won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Omonia Aradippou and 1.50 for AEL Limassol. This points to a Omonia Aradippou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Omonia Aradippou
39%
Draws
31%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AEL Limassol demonstrates higher offensive output (1.5 avg goals) than Omonia Aradippou (0.88 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cyprus League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Omonia Aradippou Clean Sheet 68%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Aradippou AEL Limassol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
0:3
Mar 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Aradippou Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawo Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Singh L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia Aradippou 41 / 100
AEL Limassol 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Aradippou AEL Limassol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omonia Aradippou scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

AEL Limassol let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Omonia Aradippou went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AEL Limassol lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia Aradippou VS AEL Limassol
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Anorthosis3311121035:4045
8AEL Limassol331351541:4644
9Omonia Aradippou331261531:4242
10Krasava331171536:4440
11Ol. Nicosia3310101332:4440
12Akritas Chloraka331051831:5835
13Achnas331032034:5333
14Paralimni33123011:805