Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs AEL Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Omonia Logo

Omonia

Wed, Feb 4, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 PM
AEL Limassol Logo

AEL Limassol

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Maric M.
36'
Imanishimwe E.
46'
Sub
Andreou E. In: Costa Ewandro
Out: Andreou E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Omonia
30%
Draws
39%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Omonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Omonia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Omonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Omonia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Omonia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Omonia Clean Sheet 17%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia AEL Limassol
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.81 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEL Limassol
1:2
Jan 9, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Omonia
0:2
Sep 22, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEL Limassol
5:0
Jan 28, 2025 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEL Limassol
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Omonia
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mmaee R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Natel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maseko T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 41 / 100
AEL Limassol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia AEL Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Omonia's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

AEL Limassol let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Omonia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS AEL Limassol
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
31 Aug
Omonia
0 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
Page 1 of 7

AEL Limassol

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2