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Stadium Background

Omonia vs Apollon Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Simic S.
35' Event
Marques P.
46'
Sub
Ljubic I. In: Adoni Z.
Out: Ljubic I.

AI Match Summary

Omonia in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Omonia
35%
Draws
24%
Apollon Limassol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than Apollon Limassol.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Omonia taking it.
  • Regular Cyprus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Omonia Clean Sheet 16%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Apollon Limassol
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Apollon Limassol
0:0
May 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Apollon Limassol
5:2
Apr 26, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia
2:3
Mar 2, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Apollon Limassol
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mmaee R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assuncao G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 84 / 100
Apollon Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Apollon Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Omonia scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Apollon Limassol has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Omonia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS Apollon Limassol
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
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Apollon Limassol

(Away)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
22 Aug
Nea Salamis
3 : 1
Apollon Limassol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)