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Omonia vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Omonia host Benfica in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Omonia have averaged 1.89 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Benfica's 2.76 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Benfica slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 1981, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Benfica. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Omonia
15%
Draws
41%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Omonia a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Omonia Clean Sheet 15%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Benfica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.89 2.76
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 1981 Champions League
Omonia vs Benfica
0:1
Sep 16, 1981 Champions League
Benfica vs Omonia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 48 / 100
Benfica 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omonia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Omonia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Benfica conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS Benfica
2 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
15 Oct
Celje
0 : 3
Omonia
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Benfica
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1
Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Bayer Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
4 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
5 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Omonia 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
7 Ferencvaros 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
8 Lyon 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
9 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
10 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
11 Sparta Prague 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
12 Royale Union SG 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
13 Rennes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
14 Din. Zagreb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
15 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
16 AC Milan 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
17 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
18 OFI Crete 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
19 Torreense 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
20 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
21 Salzburg 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
22 Real Sociedad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
23 Lillestrom 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
24 Levski Sofia 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
25 H. Beer Sheva 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Sturm Graz 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
27 Nijmegen 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
28 Celta Vigo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
29 Anderlecht 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
30 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Plzen 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
32 Marseille 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
33 Celtic 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
34 Ararat-Armenia 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Celje 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
36 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)