Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs Pafos

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Omonia Logo

Omonia

2 - 0
FT
Pafos Logo

Pafos

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Semedo W.
19' Event
Mmaee R.
24'
Semedo W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Omonia in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Omonia
30%
Draws
29%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than Pafos.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Pafos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Omonia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Omonia Clean Sheet 20%
Pafos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Pafos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
2:4
Oct 27, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mmaee R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pafos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 28 / 100
Pafos 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Omonia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Pafos has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Omonia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS Pafos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
20 Aug
St. Truiden
1 : 0
Omonia
13 Aug
Omonia
1 : 0
Lincoln Red Imps
06 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 1
Omonia
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 0
Omonia
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
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Pafos

(Away)
20 Aug
Dinamo City
1 : 1
Pafos
13 Aug
Pafos
3 : 3
Salzburg
06 Aug
Salzburg
1 : 0
Pafos
30 Jul
Pafos
4 : 0
Hajduk Split
23 Jul
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Pafos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)