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Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas host Aguilas Doradas in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Once Caldas at 1.33 goals for, 0.96 against; Aguilas Doradas at 1.25 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Once Caldas slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.00, favoring Once Caldas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Once Caldas
35%
Draws
31%
Aguilas Doradas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Once Caldas have won more games recently than Aguilas Doradas.
  • Once Caldas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 20%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Aguilas Doradas
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 12
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Aguilas Doradas
1:0
Jan 26, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 49 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Aguilas Doradas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Once Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Aguilas Doradas conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Once Caldas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Aguilas Doradas
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
25 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 1
Dep. Pereira
21 Oct
Millonarios
1 : 1
Once Caldas
18 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 2
Once Caldas
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Aguilas Doradas

(Away)
24 Oct
Junior
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1
Deportes Tolima
13 Oct
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Aguilas Doradas
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 15 10 2 3 30:13 32
2 America De Cali 15 9 4 2 29:11 31
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
5 Bucaramanga 14 6 7 1 22:13 25
6 Santa Fe 14 7 4 3 21:14 25
7 Ind. Medellin 15 7 2 6 22:21 23
8 Once Caldas 16 5 6 5 20:18 21
9 Cucuta 15 6 3 6 18:22 21
10 Deportes Tolima 16 5 5 6 18:19 20
11 Aguilas Doradas 15 4 7 4 19:20 19
12 Alianza 15 5 3 7 16:26 18
13 Inter Bogotá 16 3 8 5 18:22 17
14 Llaneros 16 5 2 9 16:21 17
15 Junior 15 3 6 6 20:23 15
16 Chico 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
17 Dep. Pereira 15 2 8 5 11:19 14
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 15 3 4 8 17:28 13
19 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 15 1 9 5 16:22 12
20 Dep. Pasto 15 3 3 9 10:22 12
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)