Sport Picks
Once Caldas vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales 
AI Match Summary
Once Caldas host Alianza in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Alianza have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Once Caldas have conceded 1 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Once Caldas slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.06, favoring Once Caldas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Once Caldas have won more games recently than Alianza.
- Win probability leans Once Caldas's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Once Caldas | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Once Caldas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Alianza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Once Caldas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Once Caldas
(Home)Alianza
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 22:12 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:22 | 9 |
