Sport Picks
Once Caldas vs Alianza
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales 
AI Match Summary
Once Caldas host Alianza in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Alianza have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Once Caldas have conceded 1.12 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor Alianza slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.63, favoring Once Caldas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Once Caldas have won more games recently than Alianza.
- Win probability leans Once Caldas's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Once Caldas | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Once Caldas scored in 88% of their last 25 games.
Alianza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.
Solid form: Once Caldas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Alianza has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Once Caldas
(Home)Alianza
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Junior | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 2 |
| 18 | Alianza | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 2 |
| 19 | Chico | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:12 | 2 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 1 |
