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Once Caldas vs America De Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas host America De Cali in the Primera A. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. America De Cali have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Once Caldas have conceded 0.67 and scored 1.67. Past meetings favor Once Caldas slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.21 - 0.71) back Once Caldas to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Once Caldas
28%
Draws
22%
America De Cali
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • America De Cali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Once Caldas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 20%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas America De Cali
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 14 8
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.67 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Primera A
America De Cali vs Once Caldas
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
America De Cali vs Once Caldas
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Once Caldas
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs America De Cali
3:0
Dec 4, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs America De Cali
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 49 / 100
America De Cali 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas America De Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Once Caldas scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

America De Cali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Once Caldas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS America De Cali
1.67 Goals Scored 0.75
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
27 Jul
Once Caldas
5 : 1
Cucuta
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
14 May
Junior
2 : 2
Once Caldas
10 May
Once Caldas
0 : 1
Junior
01 May
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Atl. Nacional
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America De Cali

(Away)
26 Jul
Inter Bogotá
0 : 2
America De Cali
22 Jul
America De Cali
2 : 1
Cartagena
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
America De Cali
12 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 1
America De Cali
10 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
America De Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Once Caldas11005:13
2America De Cali11002:03
3Dep. Cali11002:03
4Ind. Medellin11003:23
5Deportes Tolima11002:13
6Aguilas Doradas11002:13
7Bucaramanga11001:03
8Llaneros11001:03
9Alianza10101:11
10Fortaleza C.E.I.F.10101:11
11Chico00000:00
12Atl. Nacional00000:00
13Dep. Pasto10012:30
14Santa Fe10011:20
15Junior10011:20
16Millonarios10010:10
17Dep. Pereira10010:10
18Inter Bogotá10010:20
19Jaguares de Cordoba10010:20
20Cucuta10011:50
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)