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Once Caldas vs America De Cali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Escobar J.
24'
Barrios M.
35'
Cuesta Santos J. D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Once Caldas and America De Cali finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America De Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Once Caldas
20%
Draws
47%
America De Cali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America De Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • America De Cali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans America De Cali's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 13%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas America De Cali
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs America De Cali
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Primera A
America De Cali vs Once Caldas
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
America De Cali vs Once Caldas
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Once Caldas
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs America De Cali
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

America De Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 27 / 100
America De Cali 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas America De Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America De Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Once Caldas scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Once Caldas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

America De Cali let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS America De Cali
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

America De Cali

(Away)
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)