Sport Picks
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales 
Match Events
2'
2'
Batalla E.
Assist: Charrupi F.
12'
12'
Castro F.
Assist: Sambueza F.
34'
34'
Guzman H.
AI Match Summary
Bucaramanga in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bucaramanga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bucaramanga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Bucaramanga at 1.55 per game, Once Caldas at 1.44.
- Model gives Bucaramanga a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 18%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Once Caldas | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga
1:3
Mar 19, 2026 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Once Caldas Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Bucaramanga Compare
Top Goalscorer Batalla E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castro F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Once Caldas 10 / 100
Bucaramanga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Once Caldas Bucaramanga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bucaramanga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Once Caldas scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Bucaramanga let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Once Caldas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Once Caldas VS Bucaramanga
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Once Caldas
(Home) 04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1 Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
06 Aug
Once Caldas
0 : 1 America De Cali
Page 1 of 3
Bucaramanga
(Away) 04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1 Bucaramanga
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
09 Aug
Alianza
2 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
