Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Once Caldas vs Chico

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Castano J.
10'
Banguero A.
23'
Tamayo K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Once Caldas and Chico finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Once Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Once Caldas
28%
Draws
22%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Chico haven't matched Once Caldas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Once Caldas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Once Caldas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 68%
Chico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Chico
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 14 5
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Chico
3:0
Sep 26, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Chico
5:2
Apr 13, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
0:0
Jul 16, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
0:1
Jan 20, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Chico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 59 / 100
Chico 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Once Caldas scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Chico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Once Caldas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Chico
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
27 Jul
Once Caldas
5 : 1
Cucuta
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
14 May
Junior
2 : 2
Once Caldas
10 May
Once Caldas
0 : 1
Junior
01 May
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6

Chico

(Away)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)