Sport Picks

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Once Caldas vs Chico

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Castano J.
10'
Banguero A.
23'
Tamayo K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Once Caldas and Chico finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Once Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Once Caldas
20%
Draws
38%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Chico haven't matched Once Caldas's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 24%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Chico
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Chico
3:0
Sep 26, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Chico
5:2
Apr 13, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
0:0
Jul 16, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 37 / 100
Chico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Chico has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Once Caldas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Chico
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Chico

(Away)
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Chico
26 Aug
Chico
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)