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Once Caldas vs Dep. Cali Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Benedetti N.
Assist: Martinez J.
15'
Cuellar G.
39'
Dinenno J.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Once Caldas
15%
Draws
58%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Cali have won more games recently than Once Caldas.
  • 27% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Dep. Cali
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.61 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Dep. Cali
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Once Caldas
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. Cali vs Once Caldas
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Once Caldas
1:1
May 25, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Dep. Cali
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dinenno J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 41 / 100
Dep. Cali 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Once Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Dep. Cali let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Once Caldas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Dep. Cali
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cali

(Away)
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Dep. Cali 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
3 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
4 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
5 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
6 Atl. Nacional 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 11 5 3 3 15:13 18
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
11 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
12 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
13 Aguilas Doradas 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
15 Alianza 11 3 2 6 11:21 11
16 Junior 9 2 3 4 14:14 9
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 11 1 6 4 13:18 9
18 Dep. Pereira 10 1 5 4 7:13 8
19 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)