Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Once Caldas vs Junior

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Angel Bernal F. S.
31'
Roa A.
43' Event
Paiva G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Once Caldas
35%
Draws
16%
Junior
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Once Caldas come out ahead of Junior on wins alone.
  • Once Caldas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Once Caldas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Junior, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 68%
Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Junior
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
1:1
May 14, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
2:2
May 10, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
0:1
Feb 12, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 50 / 100
Junior 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Once Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Junior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Once Caldas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Junior
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
24 Aug
Junior
1 : 1
Once Caldas
09 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 1
Once Caldas
06 Aug
Once Caldas
0 : 1
America De Cali
03 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Once Caldas
30 Jul
Envigado
0 : 3
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 5

Junior

(Away)
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1
Santa Fe
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2
Junior
24 Aug
Junior
1 : 1
Once Caldas
02 Aug
Junior
0 : 1
Millonarios
29 Jul
Barranquilla
4 : 3
Junior
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atl. Nacional 9
Inter Bogotá 2
Dep. Pasto 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Junior 3
Once Caldas 2
America De Cali 1
Santa Fe 5
Semi-finals
Atl. Nacional 4
Deportes Tolima 1
Junior 2
Santa Fe 1
Final
Atl. Nacional 1
Junior 3