Sport Picks

Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande

Junior

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas play Junior in the Primera A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Once Caldas averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Junior averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Once Caldas won 1, Junior won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.15 for Once Caldas and 1.19 for Junior. This points to a Junior double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Once Caldas

33%

Draws

35%

Junior

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Junior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Once Caldas picked up more points recently compared to Junior.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.15 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Once Caldas Clean Sheet 20%

Junior Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Once Caldas	Junior
Matches Played	31	33
Wins	11	17
Draws	14	5
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.26	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Primera A

Junior vs Once Caldas

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

May 10, 2026 Primera A

Once Caldas vs Junior

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Feb 12, 2026 Primera A

Once Caldas vs Junior

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Jul 26, 2025 Primera A

Once Caldas vs Junior

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Feb 13, 2025 Primera A

Junior vs Once Caldas

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 33 / 100

Junior 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Once Caldas Junior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Junior or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Once Caldas attacking → ← attacking Junior

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Junior let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Once Caldas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Junior lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 56

1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13