Sport Picks

Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Palogrande

America de Cali W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas W play America de Cali W in the Liga Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Once Caldas W averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. America de Cali W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Once Caldas W won 0, America de Cali W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Once Caldas W and 1.31 for America de Cali W. This points to a America de Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Once Caldas W

30%

Draws

53%

America de Cali W

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Once Caldas W picked up more points recently compared to America de Cali W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 18%

America de Cali W Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Once Caldas W	America de Cali W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	15
Draws	10	8
Losses	17	7
Goals Scored	0.57	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.8
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Women

Once Caldas W vs America de Cali W

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 4 - 4

1:2

Jun 15, 2025 Liga Women

Once Caldas W vs America de Cali W

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyave K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pastrana N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Graterol F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Guarecuco J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas W 19 / 100

America de Cali W 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Once Caldas W America de Cali W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Cali W Win (2)

Secondary Pick America de Cali W & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Once Caldas W attacking → ← attacking America de Cali W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas W scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

America de Cali W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Once Caldas W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

America de Cali W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 53

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dep. Cali W	16	12	2	2	35:7	38
2	Indep. Santa Fe W	16	11	2	3	32:12	35
3	Atl. Nacional W	16	7	8	1	22:10	29
4	Ind. Medellin W	16	9	2	5	24:14	29
5	Inter Palmira W	16	8	3	5	19:18	27
6	America de Cali W	16	7	5	4	19:13	26
7	Orsomarso W	16	7	4	5	23:14	25
8	Millonarios W	16	6	6	4	25:20	24
9	Inter Bogotá W	16	6	6	4	14:9	24
10	Dep. Pasto W	16	6	5	5	21:17	23
11	Junior W	16	3	5	8	21:37	14
12	Real Santander W	16	2	7	7	9:18	13
13	Once Caldas W	16	2	6	8	12:23	12
14	Alianza W	16	3	1	12	15:37	10
15	Fortaleza W	16	2	4	10	12:37	10
16	Bucaramanga W	16	1	6	9	5:22	9