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Onduparaka vs Catda

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Onduparaka Logo

Onduparaka

1 - 0
FT
Catda Logo

Catda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Onduparaka in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Onduparaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Onduparaka
35%
Draws
41%
Catda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Not much separates Onduparaka and Catda on recent form.
  • Win probability leans Onduparaka's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Catda Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Catda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.8 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Onduparaka
1:0
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Catda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 42 / 100
Catda 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Catda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Onduparaka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Onduparaka scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Catda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

Catda

(Away)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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