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Onduparaka vs Paidha Black Angels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Onduparaka host Paidha Black Angels in the Big League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Paidha Black Angels have shipped 0.72 goals a game lately, while Onduparaka have conceded 1.28 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Onduparaka have won 0 to Paidha Black Angels's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.94) point toward Paidha Black Angels. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Onduparaka
30%
Draws
51%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Paidha Black Angels have won more games recently than Onduparaka.
  • Win probability leans Paidha Black Angels's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Paidha Black Angels
0:0
Jan 1, 2026 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Onduparaka
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Onduparaka
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Big League
Onduparaka vs Paidha Black Angels
0:0
Apr 24, 2019 Premier League
Paidha Black Angels vs Onduparaka
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 24 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Paidha Black Angels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paidha Black Angels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Onduparaka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Onduparaka scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Paidha Black Angels has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Paidha Black Angels
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

Paidha Black Angels

(Away)
04 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)