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Onduparaka vs Young Elephant

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Onduparaka Logo

Onduparaka

1 - 1
FT
Young Elephant Logo

Young Elephant

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Onduparaka and Young Elephant finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Onduparaka
35%
Draws
35%
Young Elephant
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Young Elephant carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Young Elephant a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Young Elephant
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Young Elephant
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Big League
Young Elephant vs Onduparaka
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Big League
Young Elephant vs Onduparaka
1:2
Nov 2, 2023 Big League
Onduparaka vs Young Elephant
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 24 / 100
Young Elephant 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Young Elephant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Elephant let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Onduparaka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Onduparaka scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Young Elephant
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

Young Elephant

(Away)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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