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One Knoxville vs Athletic Club Boise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Gill R.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Dengler J.
Own Goal
31' Event
Moshobane T.
Assist: Ricketts J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between One Knoxville and Athletic Club Boise finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
One Knoxville
30%
Draws
37%
Athletic Club Boise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Athletic Club Boise carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives One Knoxville a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 15%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Athletic Club Boise
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Athletic Club Boise
2:2
Jul 3, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs One Knoxville
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

One Knoxville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Moshobane T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricketts J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 41 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Athletic Club Boise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

One Knoxville found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Athletic Club Boise conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: One Knoxville remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

One Knoxville VS Athletic Club Boise
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

One Knoxville

(Home)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club Boise

(Away)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)