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Stadium Background

One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Regal Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Smuck Z.
Assist: Carrera J.
31'
Tekiela K.
35' Event
Zarokostas S.
Assist: Johnson C.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One 2024 game between One Knoxville and Central Valley Fuego finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
One Knoxville
6%
Draws
4%
Central Valley Fuego
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Central Valley Fuego haven't matched One Knoxville's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans One Knoxville's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League One 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors One Knoxville here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 20%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Central Valley Fuego
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego
2:1
May 18, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville
0:2
Jul 30, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville
0:1
Apr 30, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville
0:1
Apr 12, 2023 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Central Valley Fuego
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarokostas S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Smuck Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 85 / 100
Central Valley Fuego 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Central Valley Fuego

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

One Knoxville found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Central Valley Fuego's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

One Knoxville went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

One Knoxville VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118