Sport Picks
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN 
Match Events
10'
10'
Knapp M.
12'
12'
Baker T.
32'
32'
Clapier D.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between One Knoxville and Chattanooga Red Wolves finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chattanooga Red Wolves haven't matched One Knoxville's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans One Knoxville's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 16%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | One Knoxville | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
3:0
Jul 25, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville
1:0
Jun 10, 2026 USL Cup
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
Oct 1, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rosamilia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
One Knoxville 48 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
One Knoxville Chattanooga Red Wolves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
One Knoxville's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Chattanooga Red Wolves let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
One Knoxville has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
One Knoxville VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
One Knoxville
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
22 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Away) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Westchester SC
0 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Aug
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
