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One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Armas J.
2'
Krioutchenkov D.
15'
Sub
Musa J. In: Solis J.
Out: Musa J.

AI Match Summary

One Knoxville in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored One Knoxville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
One Knoxville
35%
Draws
30%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fort Wayne haven't matched One Knoxville's recent run of results.
  • One Knoxville are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 15%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Fort Wayne
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs One Knoxville
2:3
Jul 15, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer McLeod S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caputo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Gafar K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 35 / 100
Fort Wayne 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Fort Wayne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

One Knoxville's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Fort Wayne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: One Knoxville stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

One Knoxville VS Fort Wayne
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

One Knoxville

(Home)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

Fort Wayne

(Away)
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)