Sport Picks

Stadium Background

One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne

USA USA

USL League One Regal Stadium
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

One Knoxville play Fort Wayne in the USL League One. It looks like a close match. Recently, One Knoxville averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1 conceded. Fort Wayne averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, One Knoxville won 2, Fort Wayne won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for One Knoxville and 1.31 for Fort Wayne. This points to a One Knoxville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
One Knoxville
15%
Draws
34%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • One Knoxville picked up more points recently compared to Fort Wayne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 18%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Fort Wayne
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 23 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.61
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne
1-2
Apr 12, 2025 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs One Knoxville
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne
3-2
Feb 12, 2025 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs One Knoxville
0-0
Jan 12, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne
0-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 50 / 100
Fort Wayne 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Fort Wayne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: One Knoxville or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

One Knoxville attacking → ← attacking Fort Wayne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

One Knoxville scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Fort Wayne let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

One Knoxville went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fort Wayne lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 45
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2One Knoxville1493226:1230
3Charlotte Independence1392233:1729
4AV Alta FC1566322:1724
5Forward Madison1372422:1423
6Spokane Velocity1472517:1823
7Athletic Club Boise1563622:2321
8Fort Wayne1356217:1221
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1161421:1319
10FC Naples1552816:2317
11Portland Hearts of Pine1445521:2217
12Sarasota Paradise16511017:2816
13Corpus Christi FC1536618:2515
14Westchester SC1442823:2214
15Richmond Kickers1332812:2411
16Greenville Triumph1131711:2110
17New York Cosmos1221916:307