Sport Picks
One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN 
Match Events
23'
23'
Murphy B.
25'
25'
Gonzalez D.
46'
46'
Sub
Rosamilia N. In: Gill R.
Out: Rosamilia N.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between One Knoxville and Portland Hearts of Pine finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and One Knoxville come out ahead of Portland Hearts of Pine on wins alone.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on One Knoxville taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 16%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | One Knoxville | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs One Knoxville
0:0
Oct 10, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:0
May 4, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs One Knoxville
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Diene B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
One Knoxville 57 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
One Knoxville Portland Hearts of Pine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
One Knoxville scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Portland Hearts of Pine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: One Knoxville stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
One Knoxville VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
One Knoxville
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
22 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Away) 10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
