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Stadium Background

ONS Oulu W vs TPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ONS Oulu W host TPS W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. ONS Oulu W have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against TPS W's 1.68 scored and 1.82 conceded. Past meetings favor ONS Oulu W slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.38, favoring ONS Oulu W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ONS Oulu W
20%
Draws
40%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ONS Oulu W lately — more wins on the board than TPS W.
  • Model gives ONS Oulu W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
ONS Oulu W Clean Sheet 17%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ONS Oulu W TPS W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:2
May 23, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
ONS Oulu W vs TPS W
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
ONS Oulu W vs TPS W
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ONS Oulu W 75 / 100
TPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ONS Oulu W TPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONS Oulu W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TPS W conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

ONS Oulu W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: ONS Oulu W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ONS Oulu W VS TPS W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ONS Oulu W

(Home)
04 Oct
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 3
ONS Oulu W
26 Sept
ONS Oulu W
5 : 0
KTP W
20 Sept
ONS Oulu W
0 : 2
Lahti W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
29 Aug
ONS Oulu W
1 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
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TPS W

(Away)
05 Oct
TPS W
3 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
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