Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ONS Sneek vs HSV Hoek

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 28, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ONS Sneek host HSV Hoek in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. ONS Sneek have averaged 1.15 scored and 3.5 conceded recently, against HSV Hoek's 1.7 scored and 1.33 conceded. Past meetings favor HSV Hoek slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.43) point toward HSV Hoek. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
ONS Sneek
35%
Draws
49%
HSV Hoek
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HSV Hoek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • HSV Hoek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives HSV Hoek a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and HSV Hoek have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
ONS Sneek Clean Sheet 17%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ONS Sneek HSV Hoek
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.15 1.7
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2020 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs HSV Hoek
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs ONS Sneek
4:0
Feb 23, 2019 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs HSV Hoek
1:5
Nov 17, 2018 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs ONS Sneek
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ONS Sneek 10 / 100
HSV Hoek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ONS Sneek HSV Hoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HSV Hoek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ONS Sneek scored in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Defensive concern: HSV Hoek conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: ONS Sneek stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS HSV Hoek
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ONS Sneek

(Home)
03 Sept
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1
ONS Sneek
12 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0
ONS Sneek
09 Jul
Cambuur
11 : 0
ONS Sneek
07 Mar
Sparta Nijkerk
4 : 1
ONS Sneek
29 Feb
ONS Sneek
1 : 1
GOES
Page 1 of 4

HSV Hoek

(Away)
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2
Spakenburg
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)