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Onze Estrelas vs Mindelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Nacional 2013
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2013 game between Onze Estrelas and Mindelense finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Onze Estrelas
20%
Draws
47%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mindelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mindelense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mindelense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Onze Estrelas Clean Sheet 19%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onze Estrelas Mindelense
Matches Played 13 39
Wins 3 23
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.92 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Onze Estrelas
3:1
May 19, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Onze Estrelas vs Mindelense
2:2
May 25, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Onze Estrelas vs Mindelense
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onze Estrelas 20 / 100
Mindelense 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onze Estrelas Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Onze Estrelas found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (13 games).

Onze Estrelas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mindelense conceded in 56% of 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mindelense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Onze Estrelas

(Home)
25 May
Mindelense
3 : 1
Onze Estrelas
19 May
Onze Estrelas
2 : 2
Mindelense
12 May
Onze Estrelas
2 : 1
GD Varandinha
04 May
Oasis
2 : 1
Onze Estrelas
27 Apr
Onze Estrelas
1 : 0
Celtic
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Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo Praia 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
2 Mindelense 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Academico do Sal 5 2 3 0 3:1 9
4 Ultramarina 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
5 Onze Estrelas 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
6 Juventude da Brava 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Fogo 5 3 2 0 4:0 11
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 1 1 5:1 10
3 Sporting Praia 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
4 Solpontense FC 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
5 Academico 83 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
6 Scorpion Vermelho 5 0 1 4 1:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2013 (Play Offs)