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Opava vs MFK Karvina

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Simply Arena, Opava
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Opava host MFK Karvina in the ChNL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Opava have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against MFK Karvina's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor MFK Karvina slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward MFK Karvina. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Opava
22%
Draws
60%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: MFK Karvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • MFK Karvina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives MFK Karvina a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Opava Clean Sheet 16%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Opava MFK Karvina
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Opava
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Opava
0:0
Jan 13, 2024 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Opava
4:0
May 1, 2023 ChNL
Opava vs MFK Karvina
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Opava
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Opava 19 / 100
MFK Karvina 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Opava MFK Karvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFK Karvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Opava scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Opava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Opava VS MFK Karvina
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Opava

(Home)
18 Jul
Opava
1 : 2
Petrzalka
11 Jul
Opava
3 : 2
Polonia Bytom
08 Jul
Opava
0 : 2
Hlubina
04 Jul
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Opava
27 Jun
Opava
1 : 1
Prostejov
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MFK Karvina

(Away)
18 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Ruch Chorzow
10 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
Povazska Bystrica
07 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Michalovce
04 Jul
Wisla
2 : 0
MFK Karvina
23 May
Sigma Olomouc
4 : 0
MFK Karvina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dukla Prague00000:00
2Opava00000:00
3Jihlava00000:00
4Pribram00000:00
5Usti nad Labem00000:00
6Trinec00000:00
7SK Kladno00000:00
8Zizkov00000:00
9MFK Karvina00000:00
10Vlasim00000:00
11Slavia Prague B00000:00
12FK Ceska Lipa00000:00
13Kromeriz00000:00
14Ostrava B00000:00
15Prostejov00000:00
16Taborsko00000:00
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
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