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Operario Esporte Clube vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Brito
(Penalty)
17' Event
Marreta G.
72' Event
Portilho M.

AI Match Summary

Operario Esporte Clube in this Amazonense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Operario Esporte Clube
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) have won more games recently than Operario Esporte Clube.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Operario Esporte Clube taking it.
  • Regular Amazonense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Operario Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario Esporte Clube Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2024 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
3:1
Feb 19, 2023 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Operario Esporte Clube
2:0
Oct 23, 2021 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Operario Esporte Clube
0:0
May 9, 2015 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
4:5
Mar 21, 2015 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Operario Esporte Clube
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Portilho M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Top Goalscorer Marreta G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario Esporte Clube 85 / 100
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario Esporte Clube Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Operario Esporte Clube scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Operario Esporte Clube VS Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 5.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario Esporte Clube

(Home)
04 Sept
Fast Clube
2 : 1
Operario Esporte Clube
30 Aug
Fast Clube
2 : 0
Operario Esporte Clube
27 Aug
Cliper
0 : 11
Operario Esporte Clube
20 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 4
Operario Esporte Clube
15 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Manicore
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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

(Away)
22 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1 : 4
Princesa do Solimoes
19 Mar
Parintins
7 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
16 Mar
Manauara
8 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
10 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 4
Sao Raimundo AM
06 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonas 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
2 Manaus FC 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
3 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 5 1 4 0 5:4 7
4 Operario Esporte Clube 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
5 Unidos do Alvorada 5 0 1 4 1:11 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parintins 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
2 Manauara 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 Sao Raimundo AM 5 2 2 1 5:6 8
4 Princesa do Solimoes 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
5 Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Amazonense 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)