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Operario Esporte Clube vs Penarol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Tico
80' Event
Moreira J.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Moreira J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Operario Esporte Clube in this Amazonense 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Operario Esporte Clube
15%
Draws
21%
Penarol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Operario Esporte Clube average 1.77 goals a game right now, well clear of Penarol's 0.97.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Operario Esporte Clube taking it.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Operario Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario Esporte Clube Penarol
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Amazonense 2
Operario Esporte Clube vs Penarol
4:0
Feb 12, 2022 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Penarol
4:1
May 2, 2015 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Penarol
1:4
Mar 11, 2015 Amazonense
Penarol vs Operario Esporte Clube
3:1
Apr 1, 2012 Amazonense
Penarol vs Operario Esporte Clube
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Tico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eliabe A. d. S. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Penarol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario Esporte Clube 85 / 100
Penarol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario Esporte Clube Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penarol conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Operario Esporte Clube scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Operario Esporte Clube has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Operario Esporte Clube VS Penarol
3 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario Esporte Clube

(Home)
04 Sept
Fast Clube
2 : 1
Operario Esporte Clube
30 Aug
Fast Clube
2 : 0
Operario Esporte Clube
27 Aug
Cliper
0 : 11
Operario Esporte Clube
20 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 4
Operario Esporte Clube
15 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Manicore
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Penarol

(Away)
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2
Penarol
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB do Norte 6 5 1 0 23:6 16
2 Fast Clube 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
3 Operario Esporte Clube 6 4 0 2 23:5 12
4 Manicore 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
5 Cliper 6 1 0 5 10:23 3
6 Unidos do Alvorada 6 1 0 5 12:27 3
7 Penarol 6 1 0 5 6:28 3
Promotion - Amazonense 2 (Play Offs)