Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario MS vs Chapadao

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Operario MS Logo

Operario MS

2 - 1
FT
Chapadao Logo

Chapadao

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
53' Event
94' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Operario MS and Chapadao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
46%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapadao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chapadao haven't matched Operario MS's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 18%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Chapadao
Matches Played 52 30
Wins 28 13
Draws 14 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Chapadao
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
1:0
Apr 6, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
1:1
Mar 20, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Chapadao
4:0
Mar 13, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 31 / 100
Chapadao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS scored in 81% of their last 52 games.

Chapadao let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Operario MS has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 11

Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)