Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario MS vs Corumbaense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
46%
Corumbaense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corumbaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Corumbaense taking it.
  • Operario MS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario MS, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Operario MS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 18%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Corumbaense
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Corumbaense
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Operario MS
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Operario MS
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Corumbaense
2:1
Mar 5, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Corumbaense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 28 / 100
Corumbaense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Corumbaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Operario MS scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Corumbaense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Operario MS remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS Corumbaense
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
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Corumbaense

(Away)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS -
TBD -
Corumbaense 3
Dourados 1
Naviraiense -
TBD -
Ivinhema 5
Bataguassu 6
Semi-finals
Operario MS 4
Corumbaense 2
Naviraiense 1
Bataguassu 4
Final
Operario MS 5
Bataguassu 2