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Operario MS vs Misto

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018
Thu, Mar 1, 2018
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Operario MS host Misto in the Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Operario MS at 1.63 goals for, 1 against; Misto at 1.1 for, 0.7 against. Past meetings favor Operario MS slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2018, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.98 vs 1.27, favoring Operario MS. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Operario MS
20%
Draws
46%
Misto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Misto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS have won more games recently than Misto.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 19%
Misto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Misto
Matches Played 40 10
Wins 20 4
Draws 13 5
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Misto
0:0
Feb 4, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Misto vs Operario MS
0:0
Mar 23, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Misto vs Operario MS
0:0
Feb 14, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Misto
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 32 / 100
Misto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Misto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Misto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (40 games).

Misto has conceded goals in 40% of their last 10 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Operario MS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS Misto
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 8

Misto

(Away)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
2 Comercial MS 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
3 Uniao ABC 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
4 Novoperario 8 1 4 3 7:12 7
5 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 11:10 -2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 7 de Setembro 8 4 4 0 12:2 16
3 Corumbaense 8 4 1 3 14:8 13
4 URSO 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
5 Operario AC 8 0 2 6 3:21 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)