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Operario MS vs Misto

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018
Thu, Mar 1, 2018
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Operario MS host Misto in the Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Operario MS at 1.38 goals for, 1.13 against; Misto at 0.83 for, 0.67 against. Past meetings favor Operario MS slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2018, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.02 vs 0.98, favoring Operario MS. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Operario MS
40%
Draws
29%
Misto
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS have won more games recently than Misto.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 20%
Misto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Misto
Matches Played 42 9
Wins 21 2
Draws 14 5
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.38 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Misto
0:0
Feb 4, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Misto vs Operario MS
0:0
Mar 23, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Misto vs Operario MS
0:0
Feb 14, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Misto
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 32 / 100
Misto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Misto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (42 games).

Misto has conceded goals in 44% of their last 9 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Operario MS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS Misto
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 9

Misto

(Away)
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
27 Jun
Misto
2 : 0
Aquidauanense
22 Jun
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1 : 2
Misto
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Operario MS842212:714
2Comercial MS833211:1012
3Uniao ABC81529:118
4Novoperario81437:127
5Costa Rica832311:10-2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguia Negra853017:518
27 de Setembro844012:216
3Corumbaense841314:813
4URSO81254:145
5Operario AC80263:212
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2018 (Play Offs)