Sport Picks

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Operario MS vs Pantanal

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tassio
6' Event
dos Santos L. F.
41' Event
Rafinha

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Operario MS
20%
Draws
20%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario MS lately — more wins on the board than Pantanal.
  • Win probability leans Operario MS's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Operario MS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pantanal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 68%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Pantanal
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 13 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Operario MS
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
1:4
Apr 7, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos L. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Tassio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Itaperuna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 68 / 100
Pantanal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Operario MS scored in 80% of their last 40 outings.

Defensive concern: Pantanal conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pantanal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
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Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ivinhema -
TBD -
Dourados 3
Aguia Negra 4
Pantanal -
TBD -
Operario MS 4
Costa Rica 1
Semi-finals
Ivinhema 5
Aguia Negra 1
Pantanal 3
Operario MS 4
Final
Ivinhema 0
Operario MS 2